---
product_id: 47883937
title: "Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Paperback – 7 April 2016"
brand: "philip tetlockdan gardner"
price: "27836CFA"
currency: XOF
in_stock: true
reviews_count: 11
url: https://www.desertcart.sn/products/47883937-superforecasting-the-art-and-science-of-prediction-paperback-7-april
store_origin: SN
region: Senegal
---

# Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Paperback – 7 April 2016

**Brand:** philip tetlockdan gardner
**Price:** 27836CFA
**Availability:** ✅ In Stock

## Quick Answers

- **What is this?** Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Paperback – 7 April 2016 by philip tetlockdan gardner
- **How much does it cost?** 27836CFA with free shipping
- **Is it available?** Yes, in stock and ready to ship
- **Where can I buy it?** [www.desertcart.sn](https://www.desertcart.sn/products/47883937-superforecasting-the-art-and-science-of-prediction-paperback-7-april)

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## Description

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## Images

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## Customer Reviews

### ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ 5.0 out of 5 stars







  
  
    A very interesting read
  

*by G***  on Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 10 August 2023*

A great book on the art of forecasting. You will be able to take the key concepts away and practice it on your daily life.

### ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 4.0 out of 5 stars







  
  
    Worth a read
  

*by A***A on Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 27 April 2020*

I found this a really interesting book. I was very sceptical at first and the idea of superforecasters sounded like an issue of survivorship bias, but the author did address this satisfactorily. For the most part the book just goes through various types of logical fallacies and how you can avoid these to make more accurate predictions about the future, so if you know a bit about probability and logical fallacies already you won't find it much new. But the story of the Good Judgment Project is very interesting and certainly worth knowing about.Certainly in this time of COVID-19, after reading this book you'll start noticing a lot of public figures fall into basic data interpretation mistakes, make predictions that turn out to be totally wrong, and then continue as normal anyway!

### ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ 5.0 out of 5 stars







  
  
    The art of writing a Pop-Science book
  

*by L***R on Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 20 August 2016*

One simply cant put this book down. Phillips Tettlock and Alan Gardner have clearly taken a leaf out of Gladwellian type books in terms of entertaining content as opposed a more Kahneman type approach which bombards one with details. The book is not of course a detailed methodology of how to forecast but simply looks at a simple question. What makes a good forecaster? We are led through the authors thoughts' on this matter throughout the book by means of some high end anecdotes (Obama, General Petraeus etc) and some more simple retired fold who happen to be good at forecasting. We know that they are good at forecasting through the online forecasting tool developed by Tetlock and others which invited participants to simply make forecasts on a number of events. All for the grand allure of an amazon gift voucher! (Well more books eh?). Once the cream rises to the top of this forecasting competition, the book then delves into what makes a good forecaster, which are summarised in temp key points at the end of the book. Its all bout being logical, taking baby steps (joining the dots), keeping up to date with the latest events, making small incremental changes in your forecast and of course remember that are human and prone to errors and bias.Although the book was more an entertaining summary of the study and why old retirees were getting Brier scores better than high paid statisticians, I was perhaps expecting a bit more science in this pop-science book. However full marks for this book. I understand if I want the science I am sure I can find some papers by him online.

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*Product available on Desertcart Senegal*
*Store origin: SN*
*Last updated: 2026-02-01*