Cambridge University Press Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

Description

The thirty-five chapters in this book describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Individual chapters discuss the representativeness and availability heuristics, problems in judging covariation and control, overconfidence, multistage inference, social perception, medical diagnosis, risk perception, and methods for correcting and improving judgments under uncertainty. About half of the chapters are edited versions of classic articles; the remaining chapters are newly written for this book. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas of research and application rather than describing single experimental studies. This book will be useful to a wide range of students and researchers, as well as to decision makers seeking to gain insight into their judgments and to improve them. Review: Uma obra seminal, destinada a pessoas com um conhecimento prévio em heurística - Trata-se de uma coletânea de qualidade primorosa, mas basicamente destinada a pessoas que já detêm um conhecimento básico sobre heurística, teoria da decisão etc.. O público em geral deve iniciar essas leituras por livros menos técnicos, como a excelente súmula de Daniel Kahneman (Thinking, fast and slow) ou pela resenha de caráter mais biográfico de Michael Lewis (The Undoing Project). Esta compilação de trabalhos originais de Tversky/Kahneman e seus inúmeros colaboradores e discípulos é basicamente acadêmica e técnica. Review: Great book - This is a great book about the mental and cognitive processes which guide us through our life. It demonstrate the heuristics by different experiments which makes it more believable. However, this is the academic version of this topic, so if someone wants to read about it in an easier language, I recommend reading "Thinking, fast and slow" by Daniel Kahneman.